ARSTRed Wolves23
FinalProps coming soon · ESPN+
USMGolden Eagles13
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: ARST 31.4 – USM 30.1
ARST defensefaces USM
vs QB
#37
#37 181.3 yds/gm
vs RB
#132
#132 213.7 yds/gm
vs WR
#37
#37 181.3 yds/gm
vs TE
#37
#37 181.3 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
USM defensefaces ARST
vs QB
#57
#57 200.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#138
#138 275.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#57
#57 200.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#57
#57 200.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.