Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
AKR
34%
+194
M-OH
66%
-194
Model expected score: AKR 23.6 – M-OH 31.5
Defensive Matchup Ratings
AKR defensefaces M-OH
vs QB
#108
#108 235.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#123
#123 188.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#108
#108 235.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#108
#108 235.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
M-OH defensefaces AKR
vs QB
#135
#135 290.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#34
#34 109.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#135
#135 290.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#135
#135 290.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.