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MASS
MASSMinutemen18
FinalProps coming soon · ESPN+
BUFFBulls25
BUFF

Moneyline Projection

Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
MASS
63%
-170
BUFF
37%
+170
Model expected score: MASS 28.2 – BUFF 22.0
Defensive Matchup Ratings
MASS defensefaces BUFF
vs QB
#73
#73 210.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#25
#25 98.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#73
#73 210.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#73
#73 210.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
BUFF defensefaces MASS
vs QB
#115
#115 246.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#98
#98 159.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#115
#115 246.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#115
#115 246.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft

Player Board

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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.