Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
WIS
39%
+156
UCLA
61%
-156
Model expected score: WIS 24.8 – UCLA 30.4
Defensive Matchup Ratings
WIS defensefaces UCLA
vs QB
#10
#10 152.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#40
#40 114.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#10
#10 152.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#10
#10 152.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
UCLA defensefaces WIS
vs QB
#92
#92 225.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#17
#17 91.3 yds/gm
vs WR
#92
#92 225.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#92
#92 225.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Ty Dieffenbach
UCLA · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 147.5 · Avg 43.0 · L5 0/1
O -U -
Rush Yds
Line 17 · Avg -15.0 · L5 0/1
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/1
O +330U -323
QB
Colton Joseph
WIS · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 190.5 · Avg 226.4 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 44.5 · Avg 52.4 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +148U -147
RB
Wayne Knight
UCLA · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 86.5 · Avg 109.6 · L5 4/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 12.5 · Avg 25.0 · L5 3/4
O +101U +100
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.8 · L5 4/4
O -205U +130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 2.2 · L5 5/5
O -161U +163
RB
Abu Sama III
WIS · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/3
O +162U -161
RB
Darrion Dupree
WIS · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +100U -213
RB
Bryan Jackson II
WIS · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +100U -
RB
Anthony Woods
UCLA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O +232U -227
RB
Jaivian Thomas
UCLA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +419U -417
WR
Tyrell Henry
WIS · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 38.5 · Avg 67.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 5.2 · L5 3/5
O -109U +109
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +435U -417
WR
Semaj Morgan
UCLA · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 40.5 · Avg 45.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -140
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 1/5
O +319U -312
WR
Chris Brooks Jr.
WIS · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 27.5 · Avg 38.8 · L5 3/5
O +102U -101
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.2 · L5 2/5
O -105U -150
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +470U -455
WR
Eugene Hilton Jr.
WIS · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 25.5 · Avg 23.0 · L5 3/5
O +100U +101
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.0 · L5 2/5
O +115U -175
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +542U -526
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.