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NU
NUWildcats24
Final30 props · Peacock
MSUSpartans21
MSU

Moneyline Projection

Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
NU
69%
-223
MSU
31%
+223
Model expected score: NU 30.5 – MSU 21.2
Defensive Matchup Ratings
NU defensefaces MSU
vs QB
#90
#90 224.3 yds/gm
vs RB
#100
#100 161.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#90
#90 224.3 yds/gm
vs TE
#90
#90 224.3 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
MSU defensefaces NU
vs QB
#36
#36 181.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#77
#77 144.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#36
#36 181.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#36
#36 181.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft

Player Board

Tap a player to expand
Aidan Chiles
QB
Aidan Chiles
NU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 219.5 · Avg 234.4 · L5 4/5
O -101 U +102
Rush Yds
Line 20.5 · Avg 14.6 · L5 2/5
O +101 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 5/5
O +129 U -128
Alessio Milivojevic
QB
Alessio Milivojevic
MSU · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 173.5 · Avg 174.5 · L5 2/5
O +100 U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +559 U -556
Caleb Komolafe
RB
Caleb Komolafe
NU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 77.5 · Avg 66.8 · L5 1/5
O +101 U +100
Rec Yds
Line 4.5 · Avg 20.2 · L5 3/4
O -135 U -115
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.8 · L5 2/4
O +155 U -250
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O -115 U +116
Jaziun Patterson
RB
Jaziun Patterson
MSU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 85.5 · Avg 51.0 · L5 1/5
O -125 U -125
Rec Yds
Line 8.5 · Avg 14.5 · L5 1/2
O -101 U +102
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.0 · L5 1/2
O -103 U +104
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 3/5
O +103 U -101
Gavin Sawchuk
RB
Gavin Sawchuk
NU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +405 U -400
Joseph Himon II
RB
Joseph Himon II
NU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 3/5
O +229 U -227
Brandon Tullis
RB
Brandon Tullis
MSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +100 U -
Marvis Parrish
RB
Marvis Parrish
MSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +369 U -357
Chrishon McCray
WR
Chrishon McCray
MSU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 8.5 · Avg 6.3 · L5 1/3
O +102 U -101
Rec Yds
Line 35.5 · Avg 30.5 · L5 1/5
O -102 U +103
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.8 · L5 2/5
O +115 U -180
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +294 U -286
Fredrick Moore
WR
Fredrick Moore
MSU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 31.5 · Avg 27.3 · L5 2/5
O -101 U +102
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.7 · L5 2/5
O -155 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +385 U -370
Hayden Eligon II
WR
Hayden Eligon II
NU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 14.5 · Avg 12.0 · L5 1/2
O +101 U +100
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.0 · L5 0/2
O +110 U -175
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +714 U -667
Griffin Wilde
WR
Griffin Wilde
NU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 84.5 · Avg 85.0 · L5 3/5
O -125 U -125
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 4.8 · L5 2/5
O -140 U -110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O +110 U -109
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.