PSUNittany Lions18
Final32 props · CBS
MICHWolverines21
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: PSU 23.1 – MICH 23.2
PSU defensefaces MICH
vs QB
#3
#3 119.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#112
#112 173.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#3
#3 119.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#3
#3 119.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
MICH defensefaces PSU
vs QB
#9
#9 146.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#21
#21 94.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#9
#9 146.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#9
#9 146.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Rocco Becht
PSU · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 196.5 · Avg 232.8 · L5 4/5
O -114 U -114
Rush Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 8.7 · L5 4/5
O -118 U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +386 U -385
Bryce Underwood
MICH · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 180.5 · Avg 176.2 · L5 2/5
O -122 U -114
Rush Yds
Line 33.5 · Avg 42.4 · L5 3/5
O +100 U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +197 U -196
Carson Hansen
PSU · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 33.5 · Avg 37.8 · L5 2/5
O +100 U +101
Rec Yds
Line 4.5 · Avg 10.7 · L5 3/3
O -101 U +103
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.3 · L5 1/3
O +150 U -240
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 3/5
O +223 U -222
Jordan Marshall
MICH · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 52.5 · Avg 48.8 · L5 2/5
O -128 U -128
Rec Yds
Line 0.5 · Avg 16.5 · L5 2/2
O +107 U -106
Receptions
Line 0.5 · Avg 1.5 · L5 2/2
O -150 U -105
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +114 U -114
Savion Hiter
MICH · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 39.5 · Avg 29.0 · L5 2/5
O -120 U -130
Rec Yds
Line 0.5 · Avg 19.7 · L5 2/3
O +103 U -102
Receptions
Line 0.5 · Avg 1.7 · L5 3/3
O -155 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 1/5
O +206 U -204
James Peoples
PSU · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 23.5 · Avg 38.7 · L5 3/5
O -114 U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +379 U -370
Quinton Martin Jr.
PSU · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +930 U -909
Cam Wallace
PSU · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/4
O +100 U -
Bryson Kuzdzal
MICH · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -
Chase Sowell
PSU · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 53.5 · Avg 59.8 · L5 4/5
O -120 U -114
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.8 · L5 4/5
O -130 U -102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +335 U -333
Andrew Marsh
MICH · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 56.5 · Avg 53.6 · L5 2/5
O -114 U -114
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 5.0 · L5 2/5
O +137 U -135
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +185 U -182
Brett Eskildsen
PSU · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 40.5 · Avg 39.6 · L5 3/5
O +102 U -101
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.8 · L5 3/5
O +124 U -166
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +435 U -417
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.