Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
RUTG
47%
+113
MD
53%
-113
Model expected score: RUTG 31.4 – MD 32.6
Defensive Matchup Ratings
RUTG defensefaces MD
vs QB
#66
#66 208.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#128
#128 199.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#66
#66 208.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#66
#66 208.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
MD defensefaces RUTG
vs QB
#53
#53 198.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#62
#62 136.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#53
#53 198.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#53
#53 198.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Malik Washington
MD · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 275.5 · Avg 225.3 · L5 2/5
O +100U +101
Rush Yds
Line 15.5 · Avg 9.3 · L5 3/5
O -103U +104
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +284U -278
QB
Dylan Lonergan
RUTG · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 211.5 · Avg 193.8 · L5 3/4
O +100U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +595U -588
RB
Antwan Raymond
RUTG · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 91.5 · Avg 93.8 · L5 3/5
O -125U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 3/5
O -110U +111
RB
DeJuan Williams
MD · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 76.5 · Avg 80.7 · L5 2/3
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 2/3
O -154U +155
RB
Harry Dalton III
MD · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 2/3
O +100U -312
RB
Iverson Howard
MD · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/5
O +457U -455
RB
Liam Willson
MD · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100U -476
RB
Clay Thevenin
RUTG · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +170U -167
WR
Kaleb Webb
MD · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 56.5 · Avg 41.5 · L5 2/5
O +100U +100
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 3.2 · L5 2/5
O +142U -141
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +156U -154
WR
KJ Duff
RUTG · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 109.5 · Avg 125.6 · L5 3/5
O -114U -114
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 6.6 · L5 3/5
O -148U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.4 · L5 4/5
O +100U +115
WR
Chris Durr Jr.
MD · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 79.5 · Avg 79.3 · L5 3/5
O +101U +100
Receptions
Line 6.5 · Avg 7.7 · L5 4/5
O +126U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O -111U +112
WR
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding
MD · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 31.5 · Avg 48.4 · L5 3/5
O -114U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +175U -172
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.