Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
OSU
46%
+117
IU
54%
-117
Model expected score: OSU 27.2 – IU 29.2
Defensive Matchup Ratings
OSU defensefaces IU
vs QB
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#26
#26 99.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
IU defensefaces OSU
vs QB
#27
#27 173.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#7
#7 64.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#27
#27 173.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#27
#27 173.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Josh Hoover
IU · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 216.5 · Avg 227.3 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +469U -455
QB
Julian Sayin
OSU · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 261.5 · Avg 295.3 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +362U -357
RB
Bo Jackson
OSU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 65.5 · Avg 76.7 · L5 4/5
O -125U -125
Rec Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 13.8 · L5 3/5
O +102U -101
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.0 · L5 2/5
O -108U +108
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/5
O -114U +115
RB
Turbo Richard
IU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 52.5 · Avg 99.5 · L5 4/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 0.5 · Avg 15.7 · L5 3/3
O -102U +103
Receptions
Line 0.5 · Avg 1.0 · L5 3/3
O -160U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O +131U -130
RB
Lee Beebe Jr.
IU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 56.5 · Avg 91.8 · L5 3/5
O -118U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +162U -161
RB
Ja'Kobi Jackson
OSU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 32.5 · Avg 59.0 · L5 4/5
O +101U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 4/5
O +171U -169
RB
Isaiah West
OSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +100U -667
RB
Sean Cuono
IU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +100U -
RB
Legend Bey
OSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100U -
WR
Nick Marsh
IU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 75.5 · Avg 88.0 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 4.8 · L5 3/5
O +110U -109
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 4/5
O +129U -127
WR
Charlie Becker
IU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 75.5 · Avg 88.2 · L5 4/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 5.0 · L5 3/5
O -101U +102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.3 · L5 3/5
O +121U -119
WR
Tyler Morris
IU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +1521U -1429
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.