UVACavaliers13
Final22 props · CW
SMUMustangs23
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: UVA 27.9 – SMU 29.4
UVA defensefaces SMU
vs QB
#7
#7 140.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#83
#83 149.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#7
#7 140.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#7
#7 140.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
SMU defensefaces UVA
vs QB
#25
#25 170.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#69
#69 141.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#25
#25 170.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#25
#25 170.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Beau Pribula
UVA · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 187.5 · Avg 179.0 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Rush Yds
Line 14.5 · Avg 16.2 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +285 U -278
Kevin Jennings
SMU · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 285.5 · Avg 317.6 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rush Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 13.8 · L5 2/5
O -125 U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +202 U -200
Kendrick Raphael
SMU · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 82.5 · Avg 83.6 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 4/5
O -375 U +129
Jekail Middlebrook
UVA · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 68.5 · Avg 56.2 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/5
O +110 U -109
Xavier Brown
UVA · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/5
O +100 U -385
Noah Vaughn
UVA · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -
Dramekco Green
SMU · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -294
Xay Davis
UVA · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +535 U -526
Yamir Knight
SMU · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 57.5 · Avg 73.4 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +176 U -175
Kameron Courtney
UVA · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 32.5 · Avg 40.8 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 1/5
O +408 U -400
Yannick Smith
SMU · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 48.5 · Avg 57.8 · L5 2/4
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/4
O +269 U -263
Jalen Cooper
SMU · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 44.5 · Avg 58.0 · L5 3/5
O -120 U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +252 U -250
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.