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PITT
PITTPanthers21
Final22 props · ESPN2
BCEagles27
BC

Moneyline Projection

Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
PITT
70%
-233
BC
30%
+233
Model expected score: PITT 29.1 – BC 19.4
Defensive Matchup Ratings
PITT defensefaces BC
vs QB
#111
#111 239.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#2
#2 55.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#111
#111 239.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#111
#111 239.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
BC defensefaces PITT
vs QB
#21
#21 164.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#86
#86 151.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#21
#21 164.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#21
#21 164.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft

Player Board

Tap a player to expand
Mason McKenzie
QB
Mason McKenzie
BC · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 195.5 · Avg 193.4 · L5 3/5
O -122 U -114
Rush Yds
Line 51.5 · Avg 87.4 · L5 5/5
O -121 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O +197 U -196
Holden Geriner
QB
Holden Geriner
PITT · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 205.5 · Avg 109.5 · L5 1/4
O -114 U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100 U -
Evan Dickens
RB
Evan Dickens
BC · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 24.5 · Avg 47.2 · L5 3/5
O -120 U -130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 4/5
O +190 U -189
Damon Ferguson Jr.
RB
Damon Ferguson Jr.
PITT · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 55.5 · Avg 53.2 · L5 3/5
O -121 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +163 U -161
La'Vell Wright
RB
La'Vell Wright
PITT · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O +133 U -132
Nolan Ray
RB
Nolan Ray
BC · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +100 U -
Ja'Kyrian Turner
RB
Ja'Kyrian Turner
PITT · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/3
O +100 U -303
Bo MacCormack III
RB
Bo MacCormack III
BC · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +411 U -400
Dawson Pough
WR
Dawson Pough
BC · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 18.5 · Avg 39.5 · L5 2/4
O -101 U +102
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.5 · L5 4/4
O -145 U -110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +608 U -588
Jaedn Skeete
WR
Jaedn Skeete
BC · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 32.5 · Avg 21.0 · L5 2/4
O -101 U +102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +521 U -500
Censere Lee
WR
Censere Lee
PITT · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 26.5 · Avg 33.5 · L5 2/5
O -112 U -112
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 1/5
O +439 U -435
Cataurus Hicks
WR
Cataurus Hicks
PITT · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 49.5 · Avg 60.8 · L5 4/5
O -121 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/5
O +265 U -263
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.