UNCTar Heels24
Final21 props · ESPN2
DUKEBlue Devils20
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: UNC 18.9 – DUKE 29.0
UNC defensefaces DUKE
vs QB
#58
#58 200.5 yds/gm
vs RB
#88
#88 152.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#58
#58 200.5 yds/gm
vs TE
#58
#58 200.5 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
DUKE defensefaces UNC
vs QB
#52
#52 198.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#6
#6 63.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#52
#52 198.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#52
#52 198.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Billy Edwards Jr.
UNC · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 206.5 · Avg 213.8 · L5 4/5
O +100 U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +372 U -370
Walker Eget
DUKE · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 195.5 · Avg 196.0 · L5 3/5
O -122 U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +304 U -303
Nate Sheppard
DUKE · 3 props
Rush Yds
Line 115.5 · Avg 148.6 · L5 4/5
O +100 U +101
Rec Yds
Line 18.5 · Avg 32.2 · L5 3/5
O -128 U -128
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 2.2 · L5 5/5
O -263 U +265
Benjamin Hall
UNC · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 51.5 · Avg 55.2 · L5 1/5
O -118 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +148 U -147
CJ Campbell Jr.
DUKE · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -263
Jaylen McGill
UNC · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +100 U -400
Demon June
UNC · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 3/5
O +100 U -169
Trech Kekahuna
UNC · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 24.5 · Avg 21.8 · L5 1/4
O -103 U +104
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +536 U -526
Jayden Moore
DUKE · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 25.5 · Avg 28.3 · L5 2/3
O +100 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/3
O +378 U -370
Jordan Shipp
UNC · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 75.5 · Avg 73.2 · L5 2/5
O -120 U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +180 U -179
Jared Richardson
DUKE · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 35.5 · Avg 37.0 · L5 2/3
O -114 U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/3
O +319 U -312
Jonah Burton
DUKE · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +100 U -556
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.