Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
GT
29%
+245
VT
71%
-245
Model expected score: GT 23.9 – VT 34.2
Defensive Matchup Ratings
GT defensefaces VT
vs QB
#45
#45 192.5 yds/gm
vs RB
#124
#124 189.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#45
#45 192.5 yds/gm
vs TE
#45
#45 192.5 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
VT defensefaces GT
vs QB
#40
#40 187.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#15
#15 87.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#40
#40 187.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#40
#40 187.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Ethan Grunkemeyer
VT · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 296 · Avg 289.0 · L5 3/5
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 4/5
O +201U -200
QB
Alberto Mendoza
GT · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -
RB
Jeffrey Overton Jr.
VT · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 75.5 · Avg 88.0 · L5 1/5
O -125U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 1/5
O -U -
RB
Marcellous Hawkins Jr.
VT · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 52.5 · Avg 47.2 · L5 1/5
O -102U +103
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O +103U -102
RB
Justice Haynes
GT · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 2/5
O +157U -303
RB
Trelain Maddox
GT · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 2/4
O -195U -
RB
Chad Alexander
GT · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/3
O +100U -
RB
Malachi Hosley
GT · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O -U -
WR
Ayden Greene
VT · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 44.5 · Avg 55.0 · L5 3/5
O -125U -125
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.8 · L5 3/5
O -170U +110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +263U -256
WR
Davion Brown
VT · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 19.5 · Avg 27.7 · L5 3/5
O +101U +100
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -135
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +455U -455
WR
Que'Sean Brown
VT · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 62.5 · Avg 72.3 · L5 2/5
O -125U -125
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 6.7 · L5 4/5
O +132U -130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +164U -161
WR
Dalen Penson
GT · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 39.5 · Avg 50.8 · L5 4/5
O +101U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +354U -345
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.