TCUHorned Frogs17
Final20 props · FS1
BAYBears6
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: TCU 19.8 – BAY 26.6
TCU defensefaces BAY
vs QB
#12
#12 155.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#28
#28 99.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#12
#12 155.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#12
#12 155.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
BAY defensefaces TCU
vs QB
#96
#96 229.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#23
#23 97.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#96
#96 229.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#96
#96 229.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
DJ Lagway
BAY · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 246.5 · Avg 286.7 · L5 2/3
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/3
O +422 U -417
Jaden Craig
TCU · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 210.5 · Avg 280.0 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +490 U -476
Jeremy Payne
TCU · 3 props
Rush Yds
Line 74.5 · Avg 86.4 · L5 4/5
O +100 U +101
Rec Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 17.2 · L5 3/5
O -102 U +104
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O -128 U +129
Dawson Pendergrass
BAY · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 50.5 · Avg 63.2 · L5 3/5
O +100 U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +154 U -152
Ryelan Morris
BAY · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100 U -
Jon Denman
TCU · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/4
O +384 U -370
Caden Knighten
BAY · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +313 U -303
Gavin Freeman
BAY · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 76.5 · Avg 95.8 · L5 3/5
O -114 U -114
Receptions
Line 6.5 · Avg 8.4 · L5 4/5
O -120 U +120
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +158 U -156
Ed Small
TCU · 2 props
Rec Yds
Line 39.5 · Avg 80.6 · L5 4/5
O +103 U -102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +405 U -400
Major Everhart
TCU · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100 U -
Jordan Dwyer
TCU · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/1
O +100 U -
Jayden McGowan
BAY · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O +100 U -
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.