Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
OKST
41%
+144
HOU
59%
-144
Model expected score: OKST 28.7 – HOU 33.2
Defensive Matchup Ratings
OKST defensefaces HOU
vs QB
#15
#15 158.5 yds/gm
vs RB
#96
#96 158.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#15
#15 158.5 yds/gm
vs TE
#15
#15 158.5 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
HOU defensefaces OKST
vs QB
#124
#124 261.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#8
#8 65.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#124
#124 261.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#124
#124 261.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Conner Weigman
HOU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 255.5 · Avg 238.0 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 37.5 · Avg 29.5 · L5 2/5
O +101U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 2/5
O -105U +106
QB
Drew Mestemaker
OKST · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 275.5 · Avg 315.0 · L5 4/5
O -128U -128
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +245U -244
RB
Caleb Hawkins
OKST · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 92.5 · Avg 104.8 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 19 · Avg 18.8 · L5 2/4
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O -130U +132
RB
Makhi Hughes
HOU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 73.5 · Avg 64.5 · L5 1/5
O +100U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O -122U +124
RB
Re'Shaun Sanford II
HOU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 73.5 · Avg 67.3 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O -133U +134
RB
Ayo Adeyi
OKST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -400
RB
DJ Butler
HOU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100U -
RB
Tre Page III
OKST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/3
O +100U -
RB
John Hebert
HOU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 1/3
O +100U -
WR
Wyatt Young
OKST · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 70.5 · Avg 92.4 · L5 3/5
O -130U -127
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 5.4 · L5 4/5
O -119U +120
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 4/5
O +141U -139
WR
Trent Walker
HOU · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 42 · Avg 43.0 · L5 3/5
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +262U -256
WR
Amare Thomas
HOU · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 50.5 · Avg 60.2 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +180U -179
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.