Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
KU
40%
+150
KSU
60%
-150
Model expected score: KU 26.4 – KSU 31.2
Defensive Matchup Ratings
KU defensefaces KSU
vs QB
#8
#8 144.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#29
#29 100.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#8
#8 144.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#8
#8 144.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
KSU defensefaces KU
vs QB
#1
#1 106.3 yds/gm
vs RB
#66
#66 139.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#1
#1 106.3 yds/gm
vs TE
#1
#1 106.3 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Avery Johnson
KSU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 234.5 · Avg 218.4 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 44.5 · Avg 66.0 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O -108U +109
QB
Isaiah Marshall
KU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 221.5 · Avg 228.6 · L5 3/5
O -104U -126
Rush Yds
Line 38.5 · Avg 51.0 · L5 3/5
O -132U -123
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +159U -156
RB
Dylan Edwards
KU · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 62.5 · Avg 63.6 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 16.5 · Avg 25.4 · L5 4/5
O +101U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O -116U +118
RB
Joe Jackson
KSU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 46.5 · Avg 39.0 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O -102U +103
RB
Rodney Fields Jr.
KSU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 71.5 · Avg 64.0 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O +103U -102
RB
Jalen Dupree
KU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 23.5 · Avg 37.7 · L5 2/3
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/3
O +282U -278
RB
Jay Harris
KSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/4
O +100U -500
WR
Cam Pickett
KU · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 39.5 · Avg 63.0 · L5 2/3
O +103U -102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +372U -370
WR
Nik McMillan
KU · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 58.5 · Avg 69.0 · L5 2/5
O +100U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +172U -169
WR
Josh Manning
KSU · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 37.5 · Avg 43.2 · L5 1/4
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/4
O +272U -270
WR
Keaton Kubecka
KU · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 14 · Avg 16.8 · L5 2/4
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100U -
WR
Jaron Tibbs
KSU · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 49.5 · Avg 40.2 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +210U -208
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.