Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
CIN
52%
-108
WVU
48%
+108
Model expected score: CIN 33.2 – WVU 32.2
Defensive Matchup Ratings
CIN defensefaces WVU
vs QB
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#69
#69 141.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
WVU defensefaces CIN
vs QB
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#109
#109 168.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#133
#133 288.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
JC French IV
CIN · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 201.5 · Avg 189.8 · L5 2/5
O -114U -114
Rush Yds
Line 29.5 · Avg 38.6 · L5 3/5
O -114U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 3/5
O +232U -227
QB
Michael Hawkins Jr.
WVU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 166.5 · Avg 175.8 · L5 3/5
O -114U -114
Rush Yds
Line 100.5 · Avg 112.0 · L5 3/5
O +100U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 2.0 · L5 4/5
O +100U -
RB
Cam Cook
WVU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 121.5 · Avg 132.2 · L5 4/5
O -114U -114
Rec Yds
Line 10.5 · Avg 12.2 · L5 3/5
O -114U -114
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 1.6 · L5 0/5
O +146U -198
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 2/5
O +100U -250
RB
Cole Tabb
CIN · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 58.5 · Avg 66.0 · L5 3/5
O -128U -128
Rec Yds
Line 17.5 · Avg 41.5 · L5 2/2
O -128U -128
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.4 · L5 3/5
O +108U -108
RB
Gi'Bran Payne
CIN · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 70.5 · Avg 78.4 · L5 3/5
O -114U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 1/5
O -106U +108
RB
Zylan Perry
CIN · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100U -588
RB
Zion Johnson
CIN · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100U -556
RB
Amari Latimer
WVU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +100U -417
WR
DJ Epps
WVU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 46.5 · Avg 78.6 · L5 3/5
O -114U -114
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.8 · L5 3/5
O -162U +122
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +100U -256
WR
Prince Strachan
WVU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 43.5 · Avg 55.7 · L5 1/3
O -114U -114
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.0 · L5 1/3
O +158U -215
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +100U -
WR
Malachi Henry
CIN · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 21.5 · Avg 34.5 · L5 2/4
O -114U -114
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.5 · L5 1/4
O -166U +124
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +382U -370
WR
JV Gibson
CIN · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 57.5 · Avg 66.8 · L5 3/4
O -114U -114
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 4.5 · L5 2/4
O +120U -160
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/4
O +128U -127
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.