Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
ASU
31%
+223
TTU
69%
-223
Model expected score: ASU 24.4 – TTU 33.8
Defensive Matchup Ratings
ASU defensefaces TTU
vs QB
#59
#59 201.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#90
#90 154.3 yds/gm
vs WR
#59
#59 201.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#59
#59 201.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
TTU defensefaces ASU
vs QB
#125
#125 262.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#18
#18 91.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#125
#125 262.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#125
#125 262.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Will Hammond
TTU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 226.5 · Avg 220.4 · L5 2/5
O -120U -115
Rush Yds
Line 12.5 · Avg 12.4 · L5 2/5
O -124U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +142U -141
QB
Cutter Boley
ASU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 213.5 · Avg 245.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 8.5 · Avg 17.0 · L5 3/5
O -121U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +365U -357
RB
J'Koby Williams
TTU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 88.5 · Avg 74.6 · L5 1/5
O +100U +100
Rec Yds
Line 25.5 · Avg 27.4 · L5 2/5
O +100U +101
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.8 · L5 1/5
O +122U -162
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O -175U +179
RB
Kyson Brown
ASU · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 30.5 · Avg 58.0 · L5 4/5
O -121U -115
Rec Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 7.8 · L5 2/5
O -120U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +330U -323
RB
Quinten Joyner
TTU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 55.5 · Avg 30.2 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +116U -115
RB
Cameron Dickey
TTU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 61.5 · Avg 48.4 · L5 2/5
O -121U -129
Rec Yds
Line 5.5 · Avg 15.0 · L5 3/3
O -114U -137
RB
Marquis Gillis
ASU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +845U -833
RB
Jason Brown Jr.
ASU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/2
O +100U -
RB
Cardae Mack
ASU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/4
O +340U -333
WR
Omarion Miller
ASU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 51.5 · Avg 62.4 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 6.2 · L5 3/5
O +140U -139
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +319U -312
WR
Coy Eakin
TTU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 36.5 · Avg 38.8 · L5 3/5
O -125U -125
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.2 · L5 2/5
O +130U -174
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +234U -233
WR
Kenny Johnson
TTU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 51.5 · Avg 59.6 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.4 · L5 3/5
O -101U +102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +178U -175
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.