ARKRazorbacks31
Final24 props · ESPN2
VANCommodores21
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: ARK 24.4 – VAN 28.4
ARK defensefaces VAN
vs QB
#49
#49 194.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#78
#78 146.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#49
#49 194.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#49
#49 194.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
VAN defensefaces ARK
vs QB
#77
#77 214.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#55
#55 128.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#77
#77 214.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#77
#77 214.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
KJ Jackson
ARK · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 214.5 · Avg 198.8 · L5 1/5
O +100 U +100
Rush Yds
Line 10.5 · Avg 13.7 · L5 2/5
O -125 U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +239 U -238
Jared Curtis
VAN · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 234.5 · Avg 193.6 · L5 1/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 1/5
O +127 U -127
Sutton Smith
ARK · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 25.5 · Avg 27.7 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +248 U -244
Sedrick Alexander
VAN · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 41.5 · Avg 35.5 · L5 1/5
O - U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 4/5
O +107 U -106
Cam Settles
ARK · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 29.5 · Avg 26.2 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +267 U -263
Makhilyn Young
VAN · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +135 U -133
Braylen Russell
ARK · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +374 U -370
Jasper Parker
ARK · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -
Jamezell Lassiter
VAN · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +100 U -435
Chris Marshall
ARK · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 87.5 · Avg 100.8 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 6.5 · Avg 7.0 · L5 4/5
O +114 U -112
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +123 U -122
Junior Sherrill
VAN · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 81.5 · Avg 88.2 · L5 4/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 5.5 · L5 3/5
O -110 U +111
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O +120 U -119
Tristen Brown
VAN · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 24.5 · Avg 24.2 · L5 1/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.0 · L5 2/5
O -102 U -130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +496 U -476
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.