FLAGators27
Final27 props · ABC
TEXLonghorns24
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: FLA 28.9 – TEX 32.7
FLA defensefaces TEX
vs QB
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#52
#52 126.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
TEX defensefaces FLA
vs QB
#26
#26 171.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#27
#27 99.3 yds/gm
vs WR
#26
#26 171.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#26
#26 171.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Arch Manning
TEX · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 247.5 · Avg 224.4 · L5 2/5
O -122 U -129
Rush Yds
Line 25.5 · Avg 20.4 · L5 1/5
O +102 U -101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +157 U -154
Aaron Philo
FLA · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 185.5 · Avg 223.5 · L5 5/5
O +100 U +100
Rush Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 17.3 · L5 3/5
O +103 U -102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O +311 U -303
Hollywood Smothers
TEX · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 63.5 · Avg 59.2 · L5 2/4
O +100 U +100
Rec Yds
Line 12.5 · Avg 18.2 · L5 3/4
O -101 U +102
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.2 · L5 1/4
O +130 U -200
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/4
O -128 U +129
Jadan Baugh
FLA · 3 props
Rush Yds
Line 78.5 · Avg 112.0 · L5 3/5
O +102 U -101
Rec Yds
Line 9 · Avg 11.5 · L5 3/4
O - U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 2.0 · L5 4/5
O -110 U +110
Evan Pryor
FLA · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +646 U -625
Raleek Brown
TEX · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O +100 U -175
London Montgomery
FLA · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -
Derrek Cooper
TEX · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 0/4
O - U -
Duke Clark
FLA · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/5
O +812 U -769
Cam Coleman
TEX · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 65.5 · Avg 63.6 · L5 2/5
O -124 U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.4 · L5 3/5
O -150 U -105
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 3/5
O +107 U -106
Emmett Mosley V
TEX · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 46.5 · Avg 43.2 · L5 1/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.4 · L5 2/5
O +110 U -109
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +218 U -217
Ryan Wingo
TEX · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 56.5 · Avg 59.2 · L5 3/5
O -121 U -115
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 4.2 · L5 2/5
O +129 U -128
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +167 U -167
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.