Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
ALA
49%
+104
TENN
51%
-104
Model expected score: ALA 29.9 – TENN 30.2
Defensive Matchup Ratings
ALA defensefaces TENN
vs QB
#105
#105 234.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#9
#9 78.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#105
#105 234.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#105
#105 234.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
TENN defensefaces ALA
vs QB
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#57
#57 132.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#19
#19 162.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Keelon Russell
ALA · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 242.5 · Avg 266.5 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 25.5 · Avg 37.5 · L5 3/5
O +103U -102
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +108U -106
QB
George MacIntyre
TENN · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100U -667
QB
Faizon Brandon
TENN · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O +100U -222
RB
DeSean Bishop
TENN · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 94.5 · Avg 113.0 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.3 · L5 4/5
O -127U +129
RB
Trae'shawn Brown
ALA · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 53.5 · Avg 50.2 · L5 3/5
O +100U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O +104U -102
RB
Daniel Hill
ALA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/5
O +156U -154
RB
Kevin Riley
ALA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +100U -
RB
Daune Morris
TENN · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +259U -256
RB
EJ Crowell
ALA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +100U -323
RB
Javin Gordon
TENN · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +100U -
WR
Mike Matthews
TENN · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 59.5 · Avg 66.0 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.7 · L5 4/5
O -110U +111
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/5
O +178U -175
WR
Rico Scott
ALA · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 44.5 · Avg 37.3 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.0 · L5 2/5
O +106U -140
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O +148U -147
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.