Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
UK
46%
+117
OU
54%
-117
Model expected score: UK 26.2 – OU 28.0
Defensive Matchup Ratings
UK defensefaces OU
vs QB
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#75
#75 144.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
OU defensefaces UK
vs QB
#4
#4 122.5 yds/gm
vs RB
#41
#41 115.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#4
#4 122.5 yds/gm
vs TE
#4
#4 122.5 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
John Mateer
OU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 229.5 · Avg 207.6 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 28 · Avg 14.0 · L5 1/5
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +148U -147
QB
Kenny Minchey
UK · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 188.5 · Avg 232.3 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 0.5 · Avg 1.8 · L5 2/5
O +100U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +479U -476
RB
Lloyd Avant
OU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 46.5 · Avg 47.2 · L5 2/5
O -122U +100
Rec Yds
Line 10.5 · Avg 11.8 · L5 3/4
O -105U +106
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.0 · L5 3/4
O -160U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +104U -103
RB
CJ Baxter
UK · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 51.5 · Avg 80.7 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 15.5 · L5 3/4
O +104U -103
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.3 · L5 4/5
O +160U -159
RB
Jovantae Barnes
UK · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +470U -455
RB
Xavier Robinson
OU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100U -
RB
Tory Blaylock
OU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100U -
RB
Jonathan Hatton Jr.
OU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100U -
WR
Isaiah Sategna III
OU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 69.5 · Avg 66.2 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 5.0 · L5 2/5
O -140U -110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +159U -156
WR
Kenny Darby
UK · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 47.5 · Avg 66.8 · L5 3/5
O -121U -115
Receptions
Line 5 · Avg 4.8 · L5 1/5
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O +271U -263
WR
DJ Miller
UK · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 28.5 · Avg 75.0 · L5 2/2
O -121U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +486U -476
WR
Nic Anderson
UK · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +669U -667
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.