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UK
UKWildcats21
Final26 props · SEC Network
OUSooners13
OU

Moneyline Projection

Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
UK
46%
+117
OU
54%
-117
Model expected score: UK 26.2 – OU 28.0
Defensive Matchup Ratings
UK defensefaces OU
vs QB
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#75
#75 144.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#104
#104 232.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
OU defensefaces UK
vs QB
#4
#4 122.5 yds/gm
vs RB
#41
#41 115.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#4
#4 122.5 yds/gm
vs TE
#4
#4 122.5 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft

Player Board

Tap a player to expand
John Mateer
QB
John Mateer
OU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 229.5 · Avg 207.6 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Rush Yds
Line 28 · Avg 14.0 · L5 1/5
O - U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +148 U -147
Kenny Minchey
QB
Kenny Minchey
UK · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 188.5 · Avg 232.3 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rush Yds
Line 0.5 · Avg 1.8 · L5 2/5
O +100 U +101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +479 U -476
Lloyd Avant
RB
Lloyd Avant
OU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 46.5 · Avg 47.2 · L5 2/5
O -122 U +100
Rec Yds
Line 10.5 · Avg 11.8 · L5 3/4
O -105 U +106
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.0 · L5 3/4
O -160 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +104 U -103
CJ Baxter
RB
CJ Baxter
UK · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 51.5 · Avg 80.7 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 15.5 · L5 3/4
O +104 U -103
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.3 · L5 4/5
O +160 U -159
Jovantae Barnes
RB
Jovantae Barnes
UK · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +470 U -455
Xavier Robinson
RB
Xavier Robinson
OU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100 U -
Tory Blaylock
RB
Tory Blaylock
OU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100 U -
Jonathan Hatton Jr.
RB
Jonathan Hatton Jr.
OU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100 U -
Isaiah Sategna III
WR
Isaiah Sategna III
OU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 69.5 · Avg 66.2 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 5.0 · L5 2/5
O -140 U -110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +159 U -156
Kenny Darby
WR
Kenny Darby
UK · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 47.5 · Avg 66.8 · L5 3/5
O -121 U -115
Receptions
Line 5 · Avg 4.8 · L5 1/5
O - U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O +271 U -263
DJ Miller
WR
DJ Miller
UK · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 28.5 · Avg 75.0 · L5 2/2
O -121 U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +486 U -476
Nic Anderson
WR
Nic Anderson
UK · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +669 U -667
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.