Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
MSST
32%
+212
LSU
68%
-213
Model expected score: MSST 28.8 – LSU 37.5
Defensive Matchup Ratings
MSST defensefaces LSU
vs QB
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#43
#43 119.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
LSU defensefaces MSST
vs QB
#18
#18 162.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#4
#4 58.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#18
#18 162.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#18
#18 162.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Sam Leavitt
LSU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 245.5 · Avg 249.3 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 31.5 · Avg 51.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 3/5
O +114U -112
QB
Kamario Taylor
MSST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +239U -238
QB
Landen Clark
LSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O +100U -400
QB
Parker Puckett
MSST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +100U -357
RB
Dilin Jones
LSU · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 88.5 · Avg 80.3 · L5 1/5
O -130U -127
Rec Yds
Line 16.5 · Avg 22.0 · L5 2/5
O +101U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O -172U +176
RB
Stacy Gage
LSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/4
O +100U -
RB
Harlem Berry
LSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +298U -294
RB
Xavier Gayten
MSST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/3
O +100U -
RB
Kolin Wilson
MSST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -303
RB
Fluff Bothwell
MSST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O +169U -167
WR
Anthony Evans III
MSST · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 67.5 · Avg 114.8 · L5 4/5
O -120U +100
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 8.0 · L5 5/5
O -110U +111
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 4/5
O +159U -156
WR
Zion Ragins
MSST · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 33.5 · Avg 36.8 · L5 3/5
O -101U +102
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.2 · L5 2/5
O +101U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 4/5
O +322U -312
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.