Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
AUB
20%
+400
UGA
80%
-400
Model expected score: AUB 20.4 – UGA 36.3
Defensive Matchup Ratings
AUB defensefaces UGA
vs QB
#66
#66 208.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#81
#81 149.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#66
#66 208.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#66
#66 208.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
UGA defensefaces AUB
vs QB
#41
#41 187.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#3
#3 57.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#41
#41 187.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#41
#41 187.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Gunner Stockton
UGA · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 216.5 · Avg 216.3 · L5 3/5
O +100U +100
Rush Yds
Line 24.5 · Avg 26.8 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +145U -143
QB
Byrum Brown
AUB · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 202.5 · Avg 211.0 · L5 3/5
O -122U -115
Rush Yds
Line 48.5 · Avg 68.8 · L5 4/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 5/5
O +100U -244
RB
Jeremiah Cobb
AUB · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 23.5 · Avg 49.0 · L5 4/5
O +104U -103
Rec Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 8.8 · L5 3/5
O -103U +104
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +329U -323
RB
Bryson Washington
AUB · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100U -
RB
Dwight Phillips Jr.
UGA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +100U +129
RB
Nate Frazier
UGA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 3/4
O +100U +128
RB
Bo Walker
UGA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -139
RB
Omar Mabson II
AUB · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100U -
WR
London Humphreys
UGA · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 26.5 · Avg 21.2 · L5 1/4
O -124U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/4
O +363U -357
WR
Chas Nimrod
AUB · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 38.5 · Avg 54.6 · L5 4/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +379U -370
WR
Keshaun Singleton
AUB · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 54.5 · Avg 64.4 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +263U -256
WR
Talyn Taylor
UGA · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 36.5 · Avg 43.8 · L5 2/5
O -120U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +289U -286
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.